There is a relationship between the USD and the stock market. Below is a pretty long chart of the S&P 500 (red line) vs the USD (black line). It goes back to 1990. I’d like to note that the USD index displayed is that of the USD against a world basket of currencies. This is Read More
Canadian small caps: trading strategy
I have written about stocks that like to trade in sideways patterns in this blog before. For example, here and here. As I have noted on those two blogs – and others – a stock or sector that is trading sideways likey remains in that pattern until it breaks out – either up or down. Once Read More
TSX may be nearing an entry point
I’m posting this blog today (Friday Feb 2nd) in lieu of Monday’s usual blog. I’m on BNN on Monday at 5:30 pm EST (see bottom of this blog for details) and wanted to get a blog out prior to that appearance. Hope you can catch the show. The TSX is guided by a concentration in Read More
The three-bar rule applied to the oil trade
I noted on November 6th that the price of oil was moving through $56. I suggested that oil would be a good trade if, and ONLY IF it remained above $56. Note that the breakout point is actually $55 on this chart, but $56 remains a more comfortable barrier over that prior wall of resistance. Read More
Oil looks ready for a bounce
Traders, not investors, might be interested in the chart patterns for WTI oil right now. The chart below shows us that crude has been range bound since early 2016. When crude hits around $42, it has bounced off of that level and moved up to anywhere from $47 to $54. Not a bad trade. Technical Read More
Today’s hero becomes tomorrows zero.
I’ve referred to the market over the past few years as a “stealth” market. That is, one that sees money rotate from winning stocks into depressed stocks, and vice-versa. Rotation from sector to sector is also becoming faster and more pronounced of late. It is for this reason that I believe in truly active management Read More
Oil update
I noted a while back that I went long oil. Here is my closing paragraph on the blog- which outlined my target, and stop loss strategy: We view this as a seasonal trade at this juncture. Oil tends to be a good trade between February and May. Our commitment to holding oil much beyond Read More
Oil not there yet
Seasonally, WTI oil can be choppy into February. True to form, WTI has been trading sideways in a tight range since it broke out from a major point of technical resistance last November. Since that breakout, WTI crude seems to be trading in a range between $51 and $54.50. Daily momentum and moneyflow are trending Read More
CRAP stocks for sweet returns!
Let’s face it – stock market investing and economics can be a bit dry. For this reason, market pundits love to create acronyms. It’s fun to use clever sounding names for investment and economic themes. For example: FANG’s – this stands for the big 4 tech orientated stocks, namely Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google. BRIC’s Read More
Oil pulling back to “Buy” zone
Oil / energy is reaching an attractive entry price point again. At ValueTrend, we’ve been looking for a pullback on oil into the $45 zone to increase our exposure to energy. We had a certain level of confidence that it would do so as oil came into its second seasonal buy period – the first Read More