Correction on schedule

December 11, 20134 Comments


I mentioned last week that the TSX was setting up for a correction or pause – here’s the blog:

tsx nearterm

The charts didn’t lie, as we’re now seeing substantial underperformance by that index. Potential downside target for the TSX 300 lies around the 13,000 mark. Its already broken the 50 day MA.

The S&P 500 too has been weakening, although it has been a much stronger market over the past week. Potential downside for the S&P 500 would be around 1770 (50 day MA-area) or about 1700 in a worse-case scenario (trend line intersection and resistance formed over the summer, which becomes new support).

S&P nearterm

Both the TSX and the S&P 500 will likely be supported coming into the holiday season, a.k.a. the infamous “Santa Rally” that begins in the latter half of December and carries forth until the first week of January. The Nasdaq, according to our pal Brooke Thackray, tends to extend the rally a bit longer – typically until the end of January. So—look to this correction as likely to be short and shallow, with an eye on adding to positions if you are not fully invested.

Keith on BNN

BNN television MarketCall: I’m on BNN next Wednesday December 18th, 6:00pm EST. Phone in with your questions on technical analysis during the show. CALL TOLL-FREE 1-855-326-6266. Or email your questions ahead of time (specify they are for Keith) to [email protected]


  • I have lost count on how many times analysts have been calling the top in the S&P

  • Experts have been calling for a top for a number of months. I think we get immediate support here at 1780 and move higher from there

    • Dave–I hope you didn’t read into this blog that I am calling for a top-as that was certainly NOT the message-specifically, I noted that the correction (not top) will likely be “short and shallow”–seasonal influences certainly suggest that markets will rally from mid-December on, as I note in the blog. Whatever the case, the correction was due, as per my blog last week–and its on schedule. This is a buying opportunity.

  • the approximate 1777 area on S&P area is key. If that breaks a deeper correction is in the works at least how I see the charts


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