The following is a reprint from a client update we just sent. I thought it would be of use to readers of the blog. As I suggested on BNN recently, the market has made it back into a “vital zone of support”. My last blog also discussed this vital support zone for the markets. The S&P Read More
Contrarian stock picking
Below, I have copied the year end summary from Seeking Alpha for 2018. It may be of interest to some readers. I added to the international index returns the statistic for the TSX 300 total return, as they didn’t bother reporting that. After reviewing the “top stock losers” for the DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ, I Read More
The long and short of it all
Today I’d like to review the longer (macro) termed outlook via a current reading of my Bear-o-meter. I’ll re-post a chart of the S&P 500 that I’ve put up a couple of times that will point out a few potential technical targets for that index. Finally, I’d also like to review the neartermed probability targets Read More
I dont believe in Santa, but there may be an Elf rally coming soon
It’s too late for any hope of the Santa Rally for the S&P 500 or the TSX 300. In fact, we now have a “bear market/ phase 2 top” confirmation signal. For those unfamiliar with my rules– to confirm an uptrend (mid termed trend) on the weekly chart we need: Higher highs Higher lows Market Read More
The dumber smart money says it ain’t the bottom yet
I’d like to give a shout out to Five Star Charts today for an interesting observation regarding a different view on investor sentiment. Rather than focus on “dumb money” as an indicator of an oversold capitulation point, Boris Chai – founder of FiveStar – focused on looking at institutional money as a contrarian indicator. Interesting, Read More
You are here
Big malls and places like Disney give you a map showing you where you are in the mall or resort. My first chart shows us where we are in relation to the market’s recent support/resistance zones. The S&P broke support last Friday, and is now toying with my previously described final support zone. The chart Read More
Opportunities for mid-termed trades
Today’s blog is going to be short and sweet. Celebrate, for I shall avoid waxing eloquent, and get right to the point! Each of the 4 notations below are encapsulated in a capitalized summary sentence. Here goes: Reversals are often signalled by short-bodied candles. Short bodied candles occur when the market rises or falls Read More
My dad’s smarter than your dad.
Super brief look at the market before we get started on the main topic of today’s blog. Rumor has it that the markets have been volatile. If this rumour is true, we’d better take a look at the charts to see if the situation is dangerous. Below is a chart of the S&P 500. The Read More
It’s the end of the world as we know it. And I feel fine.
Rock band REM sang a truly great song called “It’s the end of the world (as we know it)”. Many of you have heard the song, I’m sure, but if you wish to marvel at how lyrist Mike Mills can carry off a fairly rapid flow of complex lyrics – click here. Today, I’d like Read More
Monday madness: Is today’s selloff a reason to panic?
I try to be as rule based as I can within a stock trading environment. Readers who have followed this blog consistently will know that we at ValueTrend held 22% cash over the summer based on some of those rules (Bear-o-meter readings, seasonality). We’ve also been following some buy-in rules in an attempt to sensibly Read More