Today, I’ve written a longer blog. I hope you find the time it takes to read it enlightening. I’d like to look a bit closer at the last two major stock market crashes. Specifically we’ll look at the 2000-2001 crash and the 2008-2010 crash. Are there any patterns in these crashes that might offer clues Read More
MACD may signal the bottom of this crash
Last week a wild one for markets, to say the least. Today carries on that tradition. The Bear-o-meter reading that I took last week provided a simple message, in my experience: the stock market will most likely rally significantly over the coming months, but there’s also a high probability that markets will continue to experience Read More
Bear-o-meter quick update
This is going to be a quick n’ dirty blog – hopefully it helps. Before getting to the meat of it – for those who don’t already, please consider subscribing to our newsletter. True, sometimes we repeat content form this blog on it, but other times like today, we spit out some new thoughts on Read More
Just another ending of the world
For fun, here is a summary of news headlines from the past couple of weeks as market literally went up, down, up, down in a rhythmic pattern. “Market falls on renewed coronavirus fears” “Market rallies on easing coronavirus fears” “Market falls on renewed coronavirus fears” “Market rallies on easing coronavirus fears” “Market falls on renewed Read More
Bear-o-meter screaming low risk!
For those who follow my blog with some regularity, you’ll know that the Bear-o-meter is a risk/reward measurement tool that I’ve been using since 2015. Prior to the creation of this tool, I was using many of the 12 components independently to measure the relative attractiveness of market conditions. These components are nothing new to Read More
Update for my readers
Just a short addendum to the blog I posted yesterday. I noted that I was on the hunt to buy some stocks during the market selloff, and suggested I would start with one leg into the market yesterday. One of the qualifications we set before buying was a reversal pattern off of technical support. That Read More
Special report: Capitulation or continuation?
This weekend will feature an interview I did with a BNN reporter today. Tomorrow, I will be on Market Call Tonight at 6:00pm I thought I would do a super short and sweet reprint of some of the talking points revolving around todays phone interview. You can tune in to BNN tomorrow to hear even Read More
Bull, Bear, or neither?
I’m writing this before the market opens on Monday Feb. 24th. Coronavirus scares are hitting futures across the globe hard this morning. By the time most of you read this, you’ll already know what the outcome of the market will look like. So I wont comment on what is likely to happen today. I’d like Read More
Bear-o-meter reads a bit bearish
I try to read the Bear-o-meter once a month – near the beginning of each month. The Bear-o-meter is a risk/ reward indicator. It’s a compilation of indicators falling under general classifications of Breadth, Value, Trend, Breadth-momentum, Sentiment and Seasonality. The Bear-o-meter assigns risk on a scale of 0-8. A reading of 3 or under Read More
Special report: how sick will the coronavirus flu make the market?
I like to use analogies when I explain stock market probabilities. For example, in my last blog, I noted how overbought the market was. I noted that the indicators suggesting that the market is overbought don’t provide super timely immediate sell signals. They simply present the fact (not the opinion) that markets are higher risk Read More