“To buy when others are despondently selling and to sell when others are avidly buying requires the greatest fortitude” John Templeton Years ago Leslie Nelson did a movie called “Naked gun: The smell of fear”. If you like slapstick comedy, you may enjoy it. Human beings, like most other mammals, are pre programmed to Read More
Special report: When to enter the market again
I’ll assume you paid attention to my blogs and/ or BNN cautionary stance over the summer – or made that decision on your own accord. If so – you likely raised cash a few months back and reduced some of the recent market pain on your portfolio. However – you may have a question. The Read More
Acting like a scout
The scouts have a motto: “Be prepared”. I try to ascribed to this philosophy – originally brought to the Boy Scouts in 1907 by Baden Powell. As this blog is written, North American markets are selling off. We don’t know how deep the correction will go. I will only say that: I was prepared, and Read More
Bear-o-meter reading plummets
Do a quick search on the search bar for this blog and you will find plenty of entries under the Bear-o-meter. I try to read the compilation monthly. The last reading was on September 17th, where it had moved up from its August reading of “4” to a more bullish reading of “5”. Interestingly, the Read More
Interesting…
Regular readers of this blog will be familiar with my “Bear-o-meter” risk/reward compilation. Briefly, the Bear-o-meter is a compilation of some trend, breadth, sentiment and momentum indicators. They examine the S&P 500 from a longer termed risk/reward perspective. While the compilation’s readings can often signal market changes, it’s not really meant to be so much Read More
Idea’s for seasonal and technical rotation
In about 2 months, we enter into the best six months “buy” season. Officially, it arrives about the end of October/early November, but you can get a buy point any time between August and early November. Some sectors are affected by seasonal trends to a greater degree than others. As the “worst six months” season Read More
Bear-o-meter still neutral
The Bear-o-meter has been covered numerous times in this blog. Briefly, it is a risk/reward measurement against the US markets. It is not a pure market timing tool – rather, it gives us an idea of the current environment stacks up against historical risk and reward tendencies. I rank 12 indicators that fall into 5 Read More
Drilling down the Dow: A macro, to neartermed analysis
I’d like to offer this analysis of the current condition of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) as both a market commentary, and as a Technical Analysis primer. The following is a good way for you to create your own step-by-step process to analyse any market or security. The process doesn’t have to be sophisticated Read More
Some indicators suggest a selling opportunity is approaching
The S&P 500 is currently testing a level of technical resistance on its daily chart. The level of 2800 has been tested a few times unsuccessfully since February. On a shorter termed timing basis, we can turn to my Short Termed Timing model as applied to the S&P 500’s daily chart. I have noted this Read More
Nothing to see here. Move along, now.
Its no surprise to see the S&P 500 pull back a bit. On Wednesday of last week, I noted that the ValueTrend Bear-o-meter was on the cusp of moving into bearish territory. Here’s the blog. Further evidence for a correction: If you look at the chart below, you’ll note that 2800 was a key Read More