market cycles

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Why markets may be choppy for a while, and what you can do about it

I’ve posted this chart a few times in the past. Perhaps it’s worth revisiting  to see where we are in the […]

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Rotation is going to be key this winter

I’ve referred to the market over the past couple of years as a “stealth” market. That is, one that sees […]

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Dumb Money confidence up, Smart Money confidence down: Time to sell?

Below is a chart, courtesy of, representing the optimism levels of “Smart Money”—that is, sophisticated traders such as commercial […]

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Will rising rates kill the bull?

I’ve been in the financial Industry since 1990—first as an “Investment Advisor” with both small and large brokerage firms – […]

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Sometimes I love this business

Those who criticize market timing don’t understand what market timing really is. Market timing, to be clear, is NOT—I repeat […]

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I love the smell of napalm in the morning!

I love the smell of napalm in the morning. It smells like Christmas! Robert Duvall said this famous line in […]

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Trading the S&P 500 for fun and profit!

  June has lived up to its seasonal tendency to be a volatile month. Thackray’s guide tells us that its […]

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Déjà vu, all over again!

[su_youtube_advanced url=”” rel=”no”]On April 21, 2011, I sent the following commentary to our clients at ValueTrend regarding the state of […]

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What Dow Theory may be telling us about the market

Dow Theory states that Dow Industrials and Transports averages must confirm each other (amongst other components of that theory). If […]

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Add these sectors to your radar screen

A couple of sectors are looking interesting from a technical perspective right now. Canadian banks and the Global Agriculture sectors […]

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