market cycles

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A few observations

As an investor, you need to ignore those who would influence you, and follow your rules.

The pain cycle

Inflation matters, government policy matters, and completing the Pain cycle matters!

Investing in the swamp

Indications are that the SPX is breaking down from its 4100 key technical level.

From Fed to Fundamentals

How we trade now, and in the future, must be dictated by the market.

Near termed & mid termed view, and a case for small caps

I think that the market has a decent chance of a short termed rally. Thereafter, the market looks like it might continue its downward trajectory for a while.

History lessons

History offers clues to suggest that the market could get ugly next year.

Market insights to start your week

We view the potential for some neartermed upside similar to the August rally

Market outlook – inflation, recession, and opportunities

This is one of those “more important” blogs, folks. Its a bit longer than normal, but its important. Take the […]

Playing the Fed’s bluff

The market has risen sharply off of its June lows through July and August. This was largely driven by the […]

Recent price behavior vs. Historic bear market patterns: my current strategy

I have posted similar charts to today’s just a few months ago, but I thought it was time for a […]

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