market cycles

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Market outlook – inflation, recession, and opportunities

This is one of those “more important” blogs, folks. Its a bit longer than normal, but its important. Take the […]

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Playing the Fed’s bluff

The market has risen sharply off of its June lows through July and August. This was largely driven by the […]

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Recent price behavior vs. Historic bear market patterns: my current strategy

I have posted similar charts to today’s just a few months ago, but I thought it was time for a […]

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Its always good to hear a different viewpoint

As regular readers of this blog are aware, I have been advocating for the potential of a softer monetary stance […]

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4 reasons I don’t trust this rally

I usually like to quote other analysts and sources for a backdrop in these blogs, but today I am going […]

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The 3 step formula

The current US & Canadian governments are following a 3-step economic formula. We’re currently in step 2: Deny inflation. Say […]

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My gut, and history, are telling me some things about this market

For years now, North American  economies have been mainly consumer driven.  That consumption has been fueled by money printing and […]

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Its beginning to look a lot like Christmas (not!)

Back in January, I began warning you of the longer termed bearish picture for the markets. One of the things […]

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My top trading idea for the coming months

Regulars of this blog – along with clients of ValueTrend – recognize that we were amongst the very early adaptors […]

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Armchair Elliott Analysis

I am not an Elliott Wave analyst. Sure, as part of the role of Technical Analyst, I do need to […]

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