Today’s blog includes the commentary from my Tuesday BNN show notes – and I’ve added some charts that support that commentary. FYI, here is the link for the show. Here’s some scary statistics that might horrify you ever more than running out of candy for shell-outs on Halloween night: President Trump’s approval rating Read More
Mark Twain and active management
“Lies, damned lies, and statistics” Mark Twain The SPIVA report provides updated statistics on how active managers are faring against the broad liquid market indices. It’s a good site to look at to bring to check how many managers outperform their index in virtually every developed market. In fact, the report can be Read More
Ask me Anything Answers
Here are the questions, and my responses for last weeks “Ask me Anything” prompter. Natural gas and oil are flat yet stocks are down – why? I had a couple of questions come in regarding the disconnect between nat gas pricing and the producers, and the disconnect between oil prices and the producers. The Read More
Ask me anything
I’m a fan of Sam Harris’ “Waking up” podcast for his insight into science, logic , ethics and reason. He can be a bit controversial in some areas – but he’s not afraid to hit sensitive subjects head-on using a logical approach – whether that approach is painful or not. I don’t always agree with him, Read More
Horizontal mambo
Life is a horizontal fall (Jean Cocteau: French writer, designer, playwright) I wrote a blog that was well received back in May on sideways trading stocks. I mentioned on the blog that I quite like stocks stuck within a range because you can define your trading plan – you know upfront what your entry and Read More
Mind the gap
I presented a bit of research a while ago that suggested the old adage “gaps must be filled” is a reasonably reoccurring pattern. I’d encourage readers to read this blog if they would like a primer on understanding gaps, and for some analysis on how often gaps occurring on daily charts are filled. The daily Read More
4 Sideways Trading stocks
Stocks stuck within a range is one of the better technical patterns we can look to trade. I like them because you really can define your trading plan – you know upfront what your entry and exit points are. When I look for sideways trading stocks, I try to find stocks (or ETF’s) with a Read More
Bear-o-meter stays in the neutral zone
I recently promised that I’d post my latest reading of the Bear-o-meter in early May. As a refresher, to those new to the blog, the Bearometer is a compilation of 12 indicators. 2 are trend indicators, 4 are breadth indicators (although I use 2 of them as momentum indicators), 1 is a value indicator, 3 Read More
Oil update
I noted a while back that I went long oil. Here is my closing paragraph on the blog- which outlined my target, and stop loss strategy: We view this as a seasonal trade at this juncture. Oil tends to be a good trade between February and May. Our commitment to holding oil much beyond Read More
I seem to have gapped on that…
Sometimes we refer to ourselves as “gapping” when we forget something. We then try to fill that gap with an apology, hoping things will be forgiven by the person who our forgetfulness has impacted. Sometimes, markets like to gap. Read any good book on technical analysis (may I humbly suggest my book Sideways?) Read More