At ValueTrend, we’ve been pretty concerned about the overbought conditions on the markets. Sure, we rode the rally for a while, but 3 weeks ago we brought our cash back up, and even went so far as to raise our cash levels to an aggressive 40% weighting in the Equity Platform. We made the move Read More
Why so serious?
While down in Florida, I did plenty of work, including some speaking engagements, blogs, and even did a fairly decent sized stock rotation within the ValueTrend Equity Platform. But I had plenty of time for R&R mixed in with that work (I almost never take a non-working vacation). As I often do while in Florida, Read More
Whaz-up with da’ markets?
About a week ago, we got a neartermed timing model “sell signal”. This lines up with the “cautious” reading I got from the more macro-viewing Bear-o-meter on February 4th https://www.valuetrend.ca/bear-o-meter-drops-to-cautious-zone/ Below is the chart of my neartermed timing system signalling a sell. This system, which I have posted numerous times on this blog, is pretty Read More
Contrarian picks from the master
After speaking at the MoneyShow in Orlando, I had a very nice sit down with Benj Gallandar. Benj is co-editor of Contra the Heard investment newsletter. I really like their work, and it was a real pleasure to meet with one of the true contrarian investors out there. Benj and Ben are patient. They buy Read More
Look outside of North America for opportunities
America may be known as the “land of opportunity” insofar as its more liberty / entrepreneur environment. That being said – the US stock market may have entered into a prolonged period of relative underperformance. Same too for the Canadian markets, given our less business friendly federal government and other challenges. Two opportunities outside of Read More
Bear-o-meter drops to cautious zone
Those who have been following this blog for a while will be aware of my Bear-o-meter. It’s a compilation of numerous factors measured mostly against the S&P 500 under the headings of trend, breadth, sentiment, value and seasonality. Each factor is scored and assigned a positive, negative or neutral number. Some of the factors Read More