Investment Analysis | Wealth Management | Portfolio Management - Limit Your Risk. Keep Your Money.
Please bear with me as I migrate through some brief theories in economics. I will get to the technical message of today’s blog after offering some economic perspectives – which I feel are interesting enough to know in light of a change that I have witnessed in stock market behavior. This blog, because of the Read More
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I noted through several blogs in 2017 that the runaway upward trending market was unsustainable – and dangerous. This almost complete lack of volatility in the stock markets was a dangerous pattern, likely to end with a thud . I have also noted on this blog that markets historically go through periods of volatility after Read More
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There are 9 SPDR ETF’s trading on US markets. These ETF’s represent the most actively traded industry sectors. I thought I’d take a very high-level look at the trends and formation on all 9 of these ETF’s. This might afford a more informed approach to our buy/hold/sell decisions on these sectors, and the stocks contained Read More
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The ValueTrend Bear-o-meter has moved up one point to read 7/8 on the risk reward scale. This implies that the reward potential on the market currently outweighs risk, on a relative basis. Of course, readers who follow my blog regularly know that risk and reward are simultaneously present on the markets – but there are Read More
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Loons fly north from their southern retreats as spring approaches. So too do Canadian retiree’s known as “snowbirds”. The Canadian dollar, affectionately known as the “loonie”, follows that same desire to fly north as the weather begins to warm. Our friend Jon Vialoux over at www.equityclock.com presents this seasonal chart for the CDN$. Notice how Read More
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A bear market can be identified by the break in some technical parameters, as I have discussed in my book Sideways (lower lows, lower highs, a break of the 200 day SMA). Adding to the evidence of a break in trend, your analysis may also been aided by observing the negative correlation of some other Read More
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Nice reversal on yesterday’s trading action (Wed. April 4th). That looked a lot like a bullish engulfing candle to me. Add that occurrence to the recent signal coming from many sentiment indicators, as discussed below. Sentimentrader.com has an incredible collection of sentiment indicators, shown with a fair amount of back tested history on those indicators. Read More
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By now, readers know that I sometimes draw inspiration from classic rock n’ roll for my blogs. I went to high school during the 1970’s – the era that inspired the greatest rock legends of all time (with thanks to the 1950-60’s ground breakers like Elvis, The Beatles, and the Stones). Although not from the Read More
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I got to thinking the other day about the parallels of cycling (my beloved sport) and investing. Both of these ventures involve a degree of risk. The risk of investing is loss of capital. The risk of cycling is injury or even loss of life. In both cases, we can take precautions to make sure Read More
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Here’s a 20 year chart that I have made annotations on over time. This ‘big picture” view shows us that the recent volatility is still just a blip on the radar. Study the recent short termed corrections like 2010, 2011, 2016 . You will note that they are usually driven by Fed related news. My Read More
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